The last four weeks have been more than a rollercoaster they’ve been full-on whiplash.
Oil prices are closely tied to mortgage rates because of their direct and indirect impact on inflation. When energy costs rise, they ripple through transportation, manufacturing, and ultimately consumer prices keeping inflation elevated and putting upward pressure on rates.
And that’s the key point:
Inflation is the enemy of value over time.
It erodes purchasing power, drives borrowing costs higher, and makes it harder for rates to improve in a meaningful way.
Control inflation, and rates follow.
Let inflation run, and everything gets more expensive including money.
Will the U.S. and Iran reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz before tomorrow’s deadline… or just move the goalpost again?
Given the recent pattern of extensions and shifting timelines, another deadline wouldn’t be a surprise.
That uncertainty is exactly what markets hate.
When there’s no clear path forward, fear takes over stocks get hit, bonds sell off, and rates stay elevated. Oil becomes the pressure point, and inflation concerns follow right behind it.
But here’s the flip side:
The moment clarity shows up whether it’s a deal, de-escalation, or just a defined path markets can pivot quickly.
And when uncertainty drops…
rates can drop fast. http://www.YourApplicationOnline.com

