When will the impact of tariffs start to show? Mother’s Day (happy early Mother’s Day this Sunday!) marks the 60-day point.

It wasn’t that long ago that we began stockpiling toilet paper and paper towels. Why those two items resonated so strongly with consumers isn’t entirely clear — perhaps because they are some of the most personal essentials we use daily.

While the supply chain impact likely won’t be as severe as it was during COVID, it could still affect container unloading, transportation, and manufacturing. This disruption could also lead to a rise in the unemployment rate.

The Federal Reserve remains focused on inflation, and this situation adds to their concerns. However, on the other hand, lower rents are starting to be reflected in both the CPI and PCE reports, providing some balance.

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