Let’s Talk Q1 GDP
The street says growth, but just a trace,
Point four percent—a sluggish pace.
Atlanta Fed? A different view,
Negative four—they say it’s true.
A downturn looms, the signs align,
We’ll know for sure come Wednesday’s time.

PCE Arrives Next Week
March numbers land, but here’s the twist,
No tariffs yet in this data list.
Inflation’s pace is set to slide,
To two-point-two on the headline side.

Jobs in Focus: A Labor Round
JOLTS and ADP come around.
The BLS report will also show
If jobless trends begin to grow.
April’s the frame, with DOGE in play,
And tariffs felt in the laborway.
Unemployment may hold the line,
At four-point-two—or worse this time.

What’s bad for him may good things do,
A downturn comes—what’s that to you?
Recession stirs a fearful flight,
To bonds where money sleeps at night.

When markets shake and yields are sought,
The bond world warms, the rates grow not.
So while the storm may cloud the skies,
For buyers now, low rates arise.

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