Bond Friendly CPI Report, but the result were, well, Disappointing.

This morning, I was eager to see the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report—yes, I know, I need a more exciting life.

Here are the key takeaways:

  • Inflation rose 0.2%, lower than the 0.3% expected.
  • Year-over-year inflation slowed from 3.0% to 2.8%.
  • Energy and food prices increased, while gas prices declined, but energy services rose.
  • Eggs alone accounted for two-thirds of the inflation increase.
  • Core inflation dropped from 3.3% to 3.1%, better than expected.
  • Airline fares fell 4.0%, driven by lower demand and energy costs.
  • Shelter, which makes up 44% of the Core Index, rose 0.28%, but came in lower than expected.

There’s a lot to unpack here—lower inflation, tariffs possibly stabilizing (or not), and a stock market that seems to be finding its footing.

I anticipated a rate drop today, but instead, the market remained motionless—like a sleeping dog.


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