Structural inflation is the foundation of the economy.

Picture it like a house:

• The foundation = structural inflation (stable, slow-moving, hard to change)
• A spike in oil prices = a tornado hitting the house

If the tornado is brief, maybe you lose a few shingles, short-term price pressure, but no real damage.

If it lingers, it might break a window, letting inflation start to seep into transportation, goods, and services.

If it sticks around even longer, now you’re talking about roof damage, broader inflation where higher energy costs spread across the entire economy.

Right now, the house is still standing strong. The foundation is solid, and while oil prices have picked up, that pressure hasn’t fully bled into the broader cost of goods and services.

The key question:
Does the storm pass… or does it stick around long enough to cause real damage?

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