There’s a better and more accurate inflation gauge from Truflation, which analyzes 10 million data points yes, 10 million, compared to roughly 80,000 used in CPI and PCE.

And the numbers don’t lie. PCE is at 1.39% and CPI at 1.16%.

The jobs data may appear stable, but that stability is misleading. Consumers certainly don’t feel it, and major employers like UPS and Amazon are signaling job cuts in the tens of thousands.

Jerome, take your hand away from your face and look at the real numbers. There is plenty of room to cut rates.

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